PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pnhctBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–601, n=1102)
Consensus PnL—$9.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #791PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (23 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −9 pts, n=99—
Settled positions, side won48% of 287 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 7% of 56)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 36% of 77)34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 100)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 83% of 54)21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.