PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
placeholdernamehereLuckyWinBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (693–98, n=791)67% (469–231, n=700)
Consensus PnL—$29K$10.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #878was PM monthly #579PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)76% (53 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=107, ROI +51%
  • NBA +50 pts n=49, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −7 pts, n=48—
Settled positions, side won—88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 8% of 48)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 44% of 32)34% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 56% of 48)33% (won 99% of 154)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 99% of 610)22% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketplaceholdernamehereLuckyWinBreakTheBank
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $36K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1No $20K