PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pkmgoh920x00000000000000000000000000000000000000diceking
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (1654–2418, n=4072)59% (228–160, n=388)
Consensus PnL—$34K$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #771PM monthly #662was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—88% of 1060 at avg 58¢, ROI +16%62% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—18% (won 59% of 190)1% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 87% of 201)25% (won 54% of 89)
Entries 50–70¢—22% (won 93% of 238)74% (won 66% of 266)
Entries 70¢ and up—41% (won 99% of 431)0% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.