PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pkmgoh92zubizubizutradecraft0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (16–2, n=18)49% (2015–2122, n=4137)95% (456–22, n=478)
Consensus PnL—$35K$912K-$138K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #771was PM monthly #470PM monthly #293was PM monthly #584
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position40% (4 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +7 pts n=1516, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=521, ROI +4%
  • NFL +11 pts n=102, ROI +19%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Soccer ±0 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won—88% of 17 at avg 68¢, ROI +19%57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%98% of 448 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 10% of 707)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 75% of 4)18% (won 47% of 401)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—12% (won 100% of 2)19% (won 77% of 426)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—53% (won 100% of 9)33% (won 96% of 750)99% (won 98% of 445)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.