PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pkmgoh92zubizubizutradecraftStakesForFun
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (16–2, n=18)49% (2015–2122, n=4137)59% (160–110, n=270)
Consensus PnL—$35K$912K$106K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #771was PM monthly #470PM monthly #293PM monthly #180
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position40% (4 of 10 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +7 pts n=1516, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=521, ROI +4%
  • NFL +11 pts n=102, ROI +19%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—88% of 17 at avg 68¢, ROI +19%57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%62% of 341 at avg 60¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 10% of 707)8% (won 4% of 28)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 75% of 4)18% (won 47% of 401)24% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—12% (won 100% of 2)19% (won 77% of 426)37% (won 64% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up—53% (won 100% of 9)33% (won 96% of 750)31% (won 95% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.