PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
origatozxdfbdfgngcxv0x0945A88cCf387E296785F071F725e4dc01dFb9bd-1772195461282
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (954–131, n=1085)47% (15–17, n=32)
Consensus PnL—$81K$9.5K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #991was PM monthly #851 + pinnedwas PM monthly #817
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (49 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Finance −3 pts, n=61—
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 62¢, ROI +39%81% of 1781 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%100% of 14 at avg 33¢, ROI +70%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 9% of 237)43% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 3)5% (won 51% of 87)50% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 56% of 102)7% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 6)76% (won 97% of 1355)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.