PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ogwienyLackvillBlackMoney70x77fa47189ddBA1eeFa3eA7d92a497e370807a23D-1776838051537
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (86–53, n=139)85% (17–3, n=20)47% (27–30, n=57)
Consensus PnL—$4.5K$23K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #998was PM monthly #968PM monthly #894PM monthly #972
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +38 pts n=12, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=30, ROI +25%
  • NFL +5 pts n=52, ROI +22%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won83% of 30 at avg 58¢, ROI +21%60% of 195 at avg 52¢, ROI +11%90% of 20 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%69% of 29 at avg 34¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 17% of 6)20% (won 15% of 39)10% (won 100% of 2)41% (won 58% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 3)19% (won 53% of 38)35% (won 71% of 7)34% (won 80% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 8)37% (won 68% of 73)50% (won 100% of 10)21% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 13)23% (won 91% of 45)5% (won 100% of 1)3% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.