PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz70x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Tyatsmrdarkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (29907–19650, n=49557)no settled market66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—$94K—-$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #929PM monthly #350PM monthly #986was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (11 of 13 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +38 pts n=13935, ROI +28%
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic——Elections −3 pts, n=42—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13953 at avg 61¢, ROI +28%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 98% of 465)30% (won 19% of 74)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—46% (won 100% of 6358)17% (won 59% of 41)9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 100% of 2743)17% (won 93% of 42)38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 4387)36% (won 98% of 90)51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.