PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz70x351f51e4a6e48d36c79ada2e0ed3fe43929db0d8cubsfan333darkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (93–52, n=145)66% (102–52, n=154)66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—$34K$29K-$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #929was PM monthly #991was PM monthly #995was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic—Esports −3 pts, n=47——
Settled positions, side won—63% of 129 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%83% of 140 at avg 51¢, ROI +37%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 33% of 9)2% (won 33% of 3)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 30)44% (won 75% of 61)9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—33% (won 60% of 43)48% (won 91% of 67)38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—36% (won 85% of 47)6% (won 89% of 9)51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.