PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz7EsperanzasDESTROYERcubsfan3330x071641292ee6fac7bc752e05a1a536f7654c522b
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (46–29, n=75)66% (102–52, n=154)49% (49–50, n=99)
Consensus PnL—$14K$29K-$1.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #929was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #995was PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Tennis −4 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—80% of 35 at avg 45¢, ROI +18%83% of 140 at avg 51¢, ROI +37%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 73% of 11)2% (won 33% of 3)5% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 57% of 7)44% (won 75% of 61)0%
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 90% of 10)48% (won 91% of 67)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 89% of 9)95% (won 94% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.