PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz70xe7d35952ac1792cec67765261a85a4ccb466b483Tyatsmr0x071641292ee6fac7bc752e05a1a536f7654c522b
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (90–66, n=156)no settled market49% (49–50, n=99)
Consensus PnL—$3.8K—-$1.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #929was PM monthly #997PM monthly #986was PM monthly #958
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +22 pts n=23, ROI +29%
  • MLB +12 pts n=16, ROI +16%
  • Mentions +39 pts n=17, ROI +63%
  • NFL +20 pts n=104, ROI +17%
  • Tech +30 pts n=19, ROI +40%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Elections −3 pts, n=42Tennis −4 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—77% of 62 at avg 49¢, ROI +27%67% of 247 at avg 51¢, ROI +13%92% of 65 at avg 95¢, ROI −5%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 50% of 6)30% (won 19% of 74)5% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—37% (won 83% of 23)17% (won 59% of 41)0%
Entries 50–70¢—53% (won 79% of 33)17% (won 93% of 42)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—0%36% (won 98% of 90)95% (won 94% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.