PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (35–5, n=40)88% (323–43, n=366)89% (8–1, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$1.2M$87$32K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #850was PM monthly #77was PM monthly #986was PM monthly #573
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 23¢, ROI −13%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%97% of 108 at avg 80¢, ROI −4%98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 100% of 4)0%6% (won 50% of 6)5% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0%47% (won 100% of 15)6% (won 100% of 6)26% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢0%31% (won 100% of 10)14% (won 100% of 15)56% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 70¢ and up0%22% (won 100% of 7)75% (won 100% of 81)14% (won 100% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.