PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
moonlight453ololololololololo00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (21–22, n=43)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (484–601, n=1085)
Consensus PnL—$217K$3.5M$9.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #808was PM monthly #991was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position75% (27 of 36 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 65¢, ROI +35%96% of 26 at avg 59¢, ROI +21%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 67% of 3)0%11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢0%27% (won 100% of 7)0%34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 100% of 6)100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up0%38% (won 100% of 10)0%21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.