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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JoeBlack01 | tphhh | fantasticski | LuckyWin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (291–202, n=493) | 93% (406–29, n=435) | 67% (2–1, n=3) | 88% (726–102, n=828) |
| Consensus PnL | $73K | $148K | $23K | $30K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #505 | was PM monthly #579 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (20 of 33 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=48 | Soccer −6 pts, n=59 | — | NBA −7 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 614 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 94% of 555 at avg 94¢, ROI +2% | 67% of 3 at avg 50¢, ROI +29% | 88% of 770 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 12% of 140) | 3% (won 13% of 15) | 0% | 7% (won 8% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 47% of 81) | 3% (won 27% of 15) | 33% (won 100% of 1) | 4% (won 42% of 33) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 86) | 3% (won 73% of 15) | 67% (won 50% of 2) | 6% (won 55% of 49) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 97% of 307) | 92% (won 98% of 510) | 0% | 83% (won 99% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JoeBlack01 | tphhh | fantasticski | LuckyWin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | — | Yes $1 |