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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Jugar | nomoredream | ebateldoti | Gr33d | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (218–159, n=377) | 65% (226–122, n=348) | 65% (135–73, n=208) | 88% (2300–316, n=2616) |
| Consensus PnL | $58K | $48K | $14K | $37K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #349 | PM monthly #543 | PM monthly #672 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=53 |
| Settled positions, side won | 58% of 354 at avg 54¢, ROI +4% | 76% of 345 at avg 67¢, ROI +8% | 77% of 176 at avg 65¢, ROI +7% | 92% of 3431 at avg 91¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 20% of 64) | 10% (won 9% of 35) | 9% (won 33% of 15) | 3% (won 14% of 107) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 45% of 105) | 10% (won 36% of 33) | 15% (won 48% of 27) | 1% (won 48% of 44) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 67% of 86) | 25% (won 74% of 86) | 34% (won 75% of 59) | 5% (won 59% of 168) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 89% of 99) | 55% (won 96% of 191) | 43% (won 97% of 75) | 91% (won 98% of 3112) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.