← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JoeBlack01 | calm919 | 0x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1d | SmallFishInWhaleStomach | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (291–202, n=493) | 88% (236–31, n=267) | 89% (25–3, n=28) | 89% (124–15, n=139) |
| Consensus PnL | $73K | $18K | $12K | $97K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #661 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #962 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (20 of 33 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −5 pts, n=48 | — | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=45 |
| Settled positions, side won | 69% of 614 at avg 60¢, ROI +5% | 92% of 246 at avg 71¢, ROI +21% | 84% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +19% | 86% of 157 at avg 80¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 12% of 140) | 0% | 12% (won 67% of 3) | 8% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 47% of 81) | 11% (won 69% of 26) | 16% (won 75% of 4) | 8% (won 62% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 78% of 86) | 32% (won 94% of 78) | 40% (won 90% of 10) | 9% (won 64% of 14) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 97% of 307) | 58% (won 96% of 142) | 32% (won 88% of 8) | 75% (won 100% of 117) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | JoeBlack01 | calm919 | 0x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1d | SmallFishInWhaleStomach |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |