PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mamboNB5Lackvillhoney-spotSisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market62% (86–53, n=139)95% (230–11, n=241)95% (510–28, n=538)
Consensus PnL—$4.5K$112K$466K
Tracked asPM monthly #957was PM monthly #968was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #167
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +38 pts n=12, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=30, ROI +25%
  • NFL +5 pts n=52, ROI +22%
  • Crypto +22 pts n=201, ROI +23%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—60% of 195 at avg 52¢, ROI +11%97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—20% (won 15% of 39)2% (won 40% of 5)2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 53% of 38)11% (won 86% of 22)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 68% of 73)22% (won 100% of 45)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up—23% (won 91% of 45)64% (won 100% of 130)25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.