PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
malucodolulaLuckyWinNiNo999RJW1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (693–98, n=791)88% (488–65, n=553)65% (104–57, n=161)
Consensus PnL—$29K$9.7M$6.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #805was PM monthly #579was PM monthly #985was PM monthly #701
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +42 pts n=167, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +39 pts n=201, ROI +40%
  • NBA +51 pts n=16, ROI +50%
  • Soccer +51 pts n=92, ROI +51%
  • NBA +54 pts n=13, ROI +54%
Weakest topic—NBA −7 pts, n=48——
Settled positions, side won—88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%98% of 106 at avg 47¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 8% of 48)7% (won 81% of 37)9% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—4% (won 44% of 32)39% (won 85% of 197)36% (won 95% of 38)
Entries 50–70¢—7% (won 56% of 48)49% (won 94% of 244)55% (won 100% of 58)
Entries 70¢ and up—83% (won 99% of 610)5% (won 96% of 24)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.