PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lukelunaleonat89e4ygf6Pitterrocroi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)49% (225–232, n=457)67% (28–14, n=42)
Consensus PnL—$15K$49K$149K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #672was PM monthly #987Hand-pickedPM monthly #460
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Politics −5 pts, n=52—
Settled positions, side won—91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 71% of 7)53% (won 6% of 545)36% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 92% of 38)13% (won 50% of 136)8% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 89% of 56)17% (won 65% of 175)33% (won 67% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 20)16% (won 92% of 163)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.