PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
luckycat8888880x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710StakesForFun
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1213–1271, n=2484)59% (160–110, n=270)
Consensus PnL—$60K$106K
Tracked asPM monthly #897Hand-pickedPM monthly #186
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position31% (4 of 13 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 48¢, ROI +55%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%62% of 341 at avg 60¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%24% (won 19% of 254)8% (won 4% of 28)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 40% of 241)24% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 70% of 304)37% (won 64% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 89% of 250)31% (won 95% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.