PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
luckycat888888Kkunntwinnathesidehustle
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (224–250, n=474)47% (75–84, n=159)58% (3168–2301, n=5469)
Consensus PnL—$317K$60K-$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #599PM monthly #491was PM monthly #964
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)100% (5 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +20 pts n=2414, ROI +10%
Weakest topic——NHL −7 pts, n=103—
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 48¢, ROI +55%73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%48% of 192 at avg 47¢, ROI +6%77% of 2414 at avg 56¢, ROI +10%
Entries under 30¢0%24% (won 45% of 75)18% (won 11% of 35)1% (won 84% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 76% of 111)38% (won 45% of 73)16% (won 69% of 384)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 85% of 113)32% (won 60% of 62)73% (won 75% of 1752)
Entries 70¢ and up0%4% (won 100% of 14)11% (won 86% of 22)11% (won 99% of 259)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.