PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (224–250, n=474)82% (46–10, n=56)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$317K$10K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #897was PM monthly #599PM monthly #470PM monthly #141
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 48¢, ROI +55%73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢0%24% (won 45% of 75)32% (won 31% of 16)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 76% of 111)4% (won 50% of 2)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 85% of 113)2% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up0%4% (won 100% of 14)62% (won 94% of 31)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.