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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| luckycat888888 | Debosnys | 0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731 | allen114 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 91% (1259–124, n=1383) | 49% (619–632, n=1251) | 82% (163–37, n=200) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $79K | $840K | $155K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #897 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #746 | was PM monthly #982 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (37 of 46 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=50 | Mentions −15 pts, n=44 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3 at avg 48¢, ROI +55% | 91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13% | 94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 5% (won 9% of 92) | 21% (won 37% of 241) | 3% (won 43% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 100% of 1) | 2% (won 31% of 32) | 44% (won 56% of 513) | 3% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 67% (won 100% of 2) | 3% (won 57% of 51) | 33% (won 70% of 384) | 16% (won 87% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 91% (won 98% of 1701) | 1% (won 93% of 15) | 78% (won 98% of 213) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | luckycat888888 | Debosnys | 0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731 | allen114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $27K | Yes $8.8K | — |