PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
liriks0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0beYYYYY999cqs
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (298–25, n=323)49% (2585–2638, n=5223)67% (151–73, n=224)
Consensus PnL—$4.8K$167K$309K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #491PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #998
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position45% (5 of 11 open)64% (16 of 25 open)73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Tennis −1 pts, n=386—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 79 at avg 53¢, ROI +36%51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0%70% of 341 at avg 64¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 67% of 6)14% (won 22% of 597)20% (won 9% of 69)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 92% of 13)43% (won 45% of 1867)11% (won 47% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 95% of 58)29% (won 59% of 1253)13% (won 69% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—3% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 79% of 598)56% (won 96% of 191)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.