PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (298–25, n=323)89% (48–6, n=54)59% (241–170, n=411)
Consensus PnL—$4.8K-$54K$1.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979PM monthly #491Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position45% (5 of 11 open)93% (13 of 14 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tech +9 pts n=10, ROI +8%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic——Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 79 at avg 53¢, ROI +36%84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2%99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 67% of 6)6% (won 8% of 12)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 92% of 13)3% (won 40% of 5)34% (won 100% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—73% (won 95% of 58)9% (won 56% of 18)64% (won 99% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up—3% (won 100% of 2)82% (won 95% of 155)1% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.