PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (72–6, n=78)95% (456–22, n=478)
Consensus PnL—$329K-$138K
Tracked asPM monthly #711PM monthly #101was PM monthly #584
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +7 pts n=51, ROI +10%
  • MMA +16 pts n=21, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31%94% of 77 at avg 83¢, ROI +10%98% of 448 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 33% of 3)5% (won 25% of 4)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 93% of 15)5% (won 75% of 4)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 87% of 23)8% (won 83% of 6)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 96% of 28)82% (won 100% of 63)99% (won 98% of 445)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.