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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| korandnik | Debosnys | 0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731 | 0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 91% (1259–124, n=1383) | 49% (619–632, n=1251) | 95% (597–29, n=626) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $79K | $840K | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #711 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #746 | was PM monthly #957 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 80% (37 of 46 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −6 pts, n=50 | Mentions −15 pts, n=44 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31% | 91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 33% of 3) | 5% (won 9% of 92) | 21% (won 37% of 241) | 2% (won 85% of 20) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 93% of 15) | 2% (won 31% of 32) | 44% (won 56% of 513) | 10% (won 97% of 88) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 33% (won 87% of 23) | 3% (won 57% of 51) | 33% (won 70% of 384) | 22% (won 97% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 96% of 28) | 91% (won 98% of 1701) | 1% (won 93% of 15) | 65% (won 99% of 551) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | korandnik | Debosnys | 0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731 | 0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $27K | Yes $8.8K | — |