PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
korandnikDebosnys0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731Gooooooollllllllll
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (1259–124, n=1383)49% (619–632, n=1251)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$79K$840K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #711Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #746PM monthly #141
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (37 of 46 open)75% (6 of 8 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Weather −6 pts, n=50Mentions −15 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31%91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 33% of 3)5% (won 9% of 92)21% (won 37% of 241)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 93% of 15)2% (won 31% of 32)44% (won 56% of 513)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 87% of 23)3% (won 57% of 51)33% (won 70% of 384)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 96% of 28)91% (won 98% of 1701)1% (won 93% of 15)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketkorandnikDebosnys0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731Gooooooollllllllll
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $27KYes $8.8K—