PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
izcikagamojiforrestgumperhoodquant
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (413–493, n=906)95% (19937–991, n=20928)
Consensus PnL—$62K$18K
Tracked asPM monthly #599PM monthly #500PM monthly #588
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)20% (1 of 5 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—63% of 627 at avg 48¢, ROI +7%98% of 12253 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 23% of 185)0% (won 15% of 27)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 54% of 119)1% (won 28% of 80)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 83% of 157)1% (won 55% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 95% of 166)98% (won 99% of 12051)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.