PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (604–706, n=1310)95% (10382–509, n=10891)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$81K$34K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #492Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #985was PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
Weakest topic—Mentions −1 pts, n=556——
Settled positions, side won—48% of 1738 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—36% (won 6% of 622)1% (won 45% of 65)5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 47% of 240)15% (won 98% of 885)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 58% of 350)78% (won 100% of 4649)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 92% of 526)6% (won 96% of 380)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.