PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
izcikagamojizhuz6320x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710calm919
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (238–168, n=406)49% (1212–1267, n=2479)89% (226–28, n=254)
Consensus PnL—$1.0M$60K$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #492PM monthly #952Hand-pickedPM monthly #754
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)0% (0 of 2 open)25% (3 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won—99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%92% of 239 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—0% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 19% of 254)0%
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 100% of 82)23% (won 40% of 241)11% (won 69% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—64% (won 99% of 152)29% (won 70% of 304)32% (won 93% of 76)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 89% of 250)57% (won 96% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.