PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
izcikagamojiPaul9739730b1Ahpo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (897–81, n=978)89% (211–26, n=237)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$4.4K$95K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #492was PM monthly #792was PM monthly #826was PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)85% (17 of 20 open)no open consensus position100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Finance −1 pts, n=38Tennis −2 pts, n=107—
Settled positions, side won—99% of 901 at avg 94¢, ROI +3%90% of 225 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 40% of 5)0%5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 50% of 6)1% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 100% of 5)4% (won 25% of 8)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—98% (won 99% of 885)96% (won 93% of 215)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketizcikagamojiPaul9739730b1Ahpo
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.2K—No $1.4K