PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
huhikjhkavo-edge0xbbf379252411511ADAb081F016Dc991aA6bbAA3A-1768154730738MEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (328–384, n=712)87% (516–77, n=593)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$20K$759K$557K
Tracked asPM monthly #557was PM monthly #918was PM monthly #735was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +40 pts n=347, ROI +33%
  • Esports +42 pts n=292, ROI +40%
  • MLB +42 pts n=89, ROI +41%
  • Tennis +27 pts n=182, ROI +34%
Weakest topic———Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 55¢, ROI +45%93% of 363 at avg 52¢, ROI +33%90% of 709 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%15% (won 64% of 53)2% (won 58% of 12)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢0%37% (won 97% of 134)23% (won 87% of 166)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 96% of 71)66% (won 91% of 465)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up0%29% (won 100% of 105)9% (won 94% of 66)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.