PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market79% (30–8, n=38)88% (323–43, n=366)47% (27–30, n=57)
Consensus PnL—$13K$87$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #161PM monthly #631was PM monthly #986PM monthly #972
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 21¢, ROI +67%95% of 96 at avg 60¢, ROI +38%97% of 108 at avg 80¢, ROI −4%69% of 29 at avg 34¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 67% of 6)6% (won 50% of 6)41% (won 58% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢0%21% (won 95% of 20)6% (won 100% of 6)34% (won 80% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢0%46% (won 95% of 44)14% (won 100% of 15)21% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up0%27% (won 100% of 26)75% (won 100% of 81)3% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.