PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gotigersnonkenny90themainfrede13337
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (4568–450, n=5018)65% (32–17, n=49)63% (5–3, n=8)
Consensus PnL—$77K-$244K$52K
Tracked asPM monthly #241was PM monthly #959was PM monthly #590PM monthly #334
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position94% (104 of 111 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • F1 +7 pts n=37, ROI +16%
  • Science +6 pts n=33, ROI +13%
  • NFL +3 pts n=40, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=805——
Settled positions, side won—93% of 5438 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%74% of 39 at avg 60¢, ROI −52%71% of 7 at avg 40¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 8% of 39)8% (won 100% of 3)14% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 31% of 42)21% (won 75% of 8)57% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—2% (won 57% of 132)33% (won 62% of 13)29% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—96% (won 95% of 5225)38% (won 80% of 15)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.