PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gotigersbrokemaxdegenNyetRisk
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (43–23, n=66)63% (12–7, n=19)
Consensus PnL—$103K$70K
Tracked asPM monthly #243PM monthly #975PM monthly #509
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (114 of 157 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MMA +7 pts n=51, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +17 pts n=11, ROI +41%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—67% of 70 at avg 59¢, ROI +12%61% of 23 at avg 14¢, ROI +24%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 40% of 5)78% (won 50% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 30% of 10)0%
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 71% of 38)22% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 88% of 17)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.