PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gotigersMrDouchedupple-bot
Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (1634–253, n=1887)67% (8–4, n=12)
Consensus PnL—$346K-$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #243was PM monthly #949was PM monthly #328
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—82% of 1102 at avg 74¢, ROI +4%100% of 8 at avg 60¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 16% of 148)0%
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 49% of 94)38% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—6% (won 73% of 62)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up—72% (won 98% of 798)38% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.