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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gotigers | archaic | themain | frede13337 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 88% (1237–174, n=1411) | 65% (32–17, n=49) | 63% (5–3, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $165K | -$244K | $52K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #241 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #590 | PM monthly #334 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 93% (57 of 61 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −1 pts, n=11 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 81% of 1695 at avg 78¢, ROI +1% | 74% of 39 at avg 60¢, ROI −52% | 71% of 7 at avg 40¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 16% (won 3% of 271) | 8% (won 100% of 3) | 14% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 2% (won 30% of 27) | 21% (won 75% of 8) | 57% (won 75% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 4% (won 72% of 68) | 33% (won 62% of 13) | 29% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 78% (won 98% of 1329) | 38% (won 80% of 15) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gotigers | archaic | themain | frede13337 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $690 | Yes $4.2K | — |