PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
gol7020xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8ForesightOracle
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (250–12, n=262)89% (39–5, n=44)
Consensus PnL—$129K$140K
Tracked asPM monthly #976PM monthly #650Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%86% of 64 at avg 85¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 83% of 18)11% (won 0% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢0%29% (won 97% of 88)3% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)63% (won 98% of 190)0%
Entries 70¢ and up0%3% (won 100% of 8)86% (won 100% of 55)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.