PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)51% (104–99, n=203)92% (701–62, n=763)
Consensus PnL$118K$14.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #805was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=110, ROI +8%
  • NHL +6 pts n=23, ROI −5%
Weakest topicNBA −12 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won51% of 236 at avg 52¢, ROI +4%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 29% of 28)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 42% of 76)15% (won 97% of 113)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 52% of 98)65% (won 99% of 477)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 85% of 34)17% (won 100% of 127)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.