PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (28–15, n=43)47% (125–143, n=268)65% (104–57, n=161)
Consensus PnL—$40K$19.3M$6.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #667was PM monthly #982was PM monthly #715was PM monthly #701
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +5 pts n=186, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +51 pts n=92, ROI +51%
  • NBA +54 pts n=13, ROI +54%
Weakest topic——College Basketball −12 pts, n=163—
Settled positions, side won—86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 106 at avg 47¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—18% (won 40% of 5)0% (won 0% of 5)9% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—14% (won 100% of 4)42% (won 47% of 535)36% (won 95% of 38)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 100% of 10)57% (won 51% of 729)55% (won 100% of 58)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 89% of 9)0% (won 100% of 4)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.