PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fxwd12345RockyZettomatosauce3
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (179–99, n=278)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$100K-$2.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #995Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #879
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (9 of 9 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections ±0 pts, n=101—
Settled positions, side won—65% of 354 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%100% of 4 at avg 43¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢—30% (won 10% of 106)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 32% of 22)25% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—6% (won 57% of 23)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—57% (won 98% of 203)25% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.