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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
franciscojr2025ohioismBlackMoney7machinelearned
Record (consensus markets)no settled market83% (23486–4676, n=28162)85% (17–3, n=20)65% (2206–1190, n=3396)
Consensus PnL—$98K$23K$35K
Tracked asPM monthly #110PM monthly #606PM monthly #894PM monthly #578
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +19 pts n=16534, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—87% of 16534 at avg 68¢, ROI +14%90% of 20 at avg 49¢, ROI +39%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 42% of 1641)10% (won 100% of 2)3% (won 64% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 76% of 1709)35% (won 71% of 7)6% (won 93% of 75)
Entries 50–70¢—22% (won 89% of 3583)50% (won 100% of 10)28% (won 100% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 96% of 9601)5% (won 100% of 1)63% (won 100% of 818)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfranciscojr2025ohioismBlackMoney7machinelearned
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
opposite sides · consensus Up
—Down $40—Up $423