PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fleethGoodFallen0x62764005C3F58450d21DA9984F6eab56cF3c2Dd9-1765423921985Lackvill
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (2790–1886, n=4676)60% (112–75, n=187)49% (98–103, n=201)
Consensus PnL—$69K-$225K$4.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #999PM monthly #217Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #968
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (6 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +37 pts n=1512, ROI +36%
  • Crypto +38 pts n=12, ROI +13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=30, ROI +25%
  • NFL +5 pts n=52, ROI +22%
Weakest topic——Economy −3 pts, n=28—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 1512 at avg 62¢, ROI +36%47% of 294 at avg 46¢, ROI −2%60% of 195 at avg 52¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 100% of 62)48% (won 3% of 140)20% (won 15% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 100% of 248)2% (won 50% of 6)19% (won 53% of 38)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 99% of 666)6% (won 61% of 18)37% (won 68% of 73)
Entries 70¢ and up—35% (won 100% of 536)44% (won 93% of 130)23% (won 91% of 45)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.