PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fbett89e4ygf6MEPProcroi
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (108–128, n=236)65% (345–184, n=529)67% (28–14, n=42)
Consensus PnL—$15K$557K$149K
Tracked asPM monthly #834was PM monthly #987was PM monthly #959 + pinnedPM monthly #460
Sides with the consensus100% (8 of 8 open)0% (0 of 1 open)79% (65 of 82 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—91% of 121 at avg 54¢, ROI +38%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 71% of 7)20% (won 14% of 151)36% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 92% of 38)11% (won 34% of 82)8% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—46% (won 89% of 56)19% (won 66% of 144)33% (won 67% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 20)51% (won 93% of 390)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfbett89e4ygf6MEPProcroi
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.4K—Yes $1.3K—