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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788HauchnQuantumPebble673SineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)100% (2–0, n=2)no settled marketno settled market97% (214–6, n=220)
Consensus PnL$245K$116K—$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #60PM monthly #143PM monthly #949PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position40% (6 of 15 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Finance −1 pts, n=121——
Settled positions, side won100% of 116 at avg 55¢, ROI +44%10% of 122 at avg 11¢, ROI −2%—83% of 1141 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 2)89% (won 2% of 108)—5% (won 62% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 100% of 36)6% (won 43% of 7)—35% (won 75% of 397)
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 100% of 66)1% (won 100% of 1)—43% (won 88% of 492)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 12)5% (won 100% of 6)—17% (won 95% of 191)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.