PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
errormargin3calm919TrunglKangta8585
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (238–31, n=269)64% (420–239, n=659)67% (1055–511, n=1566)
Consensus PnL—$18K-$1.9K$350K
Tracked asPM monthly #723PM monthly #603PM monthly #801was PM monthly #863
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———College Basketball −4 pts, n=55
Settled positions, side won—92% of 252 at avg 71¢, ROI +21%93% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +21%67% of 2102 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—0%1% (won 33% of 3)4% (won 26% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—11% (won 70% of 27)9% (won 82% of 39)24% (won 53% of 507)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 94% of 80)40% (won 94% of 183)50% (won 70% of 1052)
Entries 70¢ and up—58% (won 95% of 145)51% (won 96% of 230)22% (won 84% of 462)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketerrormargin3calm919TrunglKangta8585
LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
same side · consensus Team Secret Whales
——Team Secret Whales $2.1KTeam Secret Whales $1.4K