← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| errormargin3 | basedcigany | Gr33d | vfhjghj1231234 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (151–89, n=240) | 88% (2298–315, n=2613) | 89% (47–6, n=53) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.1K | $37K | $65K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #723 | Hand-picked | Hand-picked | PM monthly #279 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Tech −1 pts, n=10 | NFL −7 pts, n=53 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 72% of 426 at avg 71¢, ROI 0% | 92% of 3431 at avg 91¢, ROI 0% | 90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 27% (won 6% of 117) | 3% (won 14% of 107) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 3% (won 62% of 13) | 1% (won 48% of 44) | 22% (won 67% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 3% (won 55% of 11) | 5% (won 59% of 168) | 68% (won 100% of 28) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 67% (won 100% of 285) | 91% (won 98% of 3112) | 10% (won 75% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.