PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
elenaarybakin21d5e6x5xaaseeeeeebmachinelearned
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (6–0, n=6)88% (323–43, n=366)65% (2206–1190, n=3396)
Consensus PnL—$16K$87$35K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #941was PM monthly #991was PM monthly #986PM monthly #578
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Crypto +25 pts n=1294, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won50% of 468 at avg 37¢, ROI +9%100% of 8 at avg 44¢, ROI +57%97% of 108 at avg 80¢, ROI −4%98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 29% of 139)13% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 50% of 6)3% (won 64% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢56% (won 55% of 260)38% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 6)6% (won 93% of 75)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 67% of 55)50% (won 100% of 4)14% (won 100% of 15)28% (won 100% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 14)0%75% (won 100% of 81)63% (won 100% of 818)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.