PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
elenaarybakin21ohioismhoney-spotSisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market83% (23486–4676, n=28162)95% (230–11, n=241)95% (510–28, n=538)
Consensus PnL—$98K$112K$466K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #941PM monthly #606was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #167
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +19 pts n=16534, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +22 pts n=201, ROI +23%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won50% of 468 at avg 37¢, ROI +9%87% of 16534 at avg 68¢, ROI +14%97% of 202 at avg 75¢, ROI +23%99% of 714 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 29% of 139)10% (won 42% of 1641)2% (won 40% of 5)2% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢56% (won 55% of 260)10% (won 76% of 1709)11% (won 86% of 22)25% (won 98% of 176)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 67% of 55)22% (won 89% of 3583)22% (won 100% of 45)48% (won 99% of 342)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 14)58% (won 96% of 9601)64% (won 100% of 130)25% (won 100% of 181)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.